The 78% Probability Trap: Why Prediction Markets Are Not Truth Machines
The ledger shows a 78% probability that Iran will attack Israel on July 22. T...
Directory
•
0xWoo
•
2026-07-24
Market Prices
BTC
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Event Calendar
202628
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
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Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
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Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
22
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Circulating supply increases by about 2%
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Trend Tags
💡 Smart Money
0x2c46...ddcb
Institutional Custody
+$1.2M
90%
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Market Maker
+$1.6M
83%
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Institutional Custody
+$0.2M
65%
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AI
•
Larktoshi
•
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Fear
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Bitcoin Season
BTC Dominance
Altseason
Market Cap
All →| # | Coin | Price |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bitcoin
BTC
|
$63,993.3 |
| 1 |
Ethereum
ETH
|
$1,857.16 |
| 1 |
Solana
SOL
|
$73.9 |
| 1 |
BNB Chain
BNB
|
$564.4 |
| 1 |
XRP Ledger
XRP
|
$1.09 |
| 1 |
Dogecoin
DOGE
|
$0.0693 |
| 1 |
Cardano
ADA
|
$0.1622 |
| 1 |
Avalanche
AVAX
|
$6.25 |
| 1 |
Polkadot
DOT
|
$0.8125 |
| 1 |
Chainlink
LINK
|
$8.31 |
🐋 Whale Tracker
🔴
0xa178...547c
30m ago
Out
4,552,143 DOGE
🔴
0x34a8...4ec4
30m ago
Out
8,216,729 DOGE
🔴
0xaf07...1ca2
2m ago
Out
5,651,442 DOGE